Does the inflation decide the changes in interest rates?
September 24th, 2009 | by James |
Mathangie
Does the inflation decide the changes in interest rates?
Observably countries do adjust interest rates when there are fluctuations in key economic factors or indicators. It is always believed that monetary policy of a country, inflation, the Supply and demand of money funds are the significant causes that decide the changes in interest rates.
Out of these above three indicators, inflation is the most common factor that makes severe impacts on interest rates of a country. Interest rates influence the level of inflation. Inflation and the interest rates have a positive relationship between them. There is a simple economic reasoning behind this.
Interest rates create direct opportunities and even obstacles in the credit markets. When there are high interest rates, we can observe a decline in the money borrowing rates. As a common thought a country’s government will always have an ultimate aim of achieving high employment, unwavering prices and a constant growth in the economy by adjusting the interest rates. Since low interest rates encourage citizens’ purchasing and consuming habits in a country, a drop down in interest rates will increase the consumer spending and also it may stimulate a growth in the economy.
Most of the economists who believe in practical concepts say that an excessive economic growth will be anyway harmful to a country. A rapid growing economy might lead to a hyper inflation ending with high unemployment and high prices. Automatically it will reduce the level of consumer spending and the growth rate of economy resulting with extremely sky-scraping interest rates. On the other hand having incredibly low inflation is also not healthy for a well performing economy. An interest rate policy must be reasonable. So we can obviously say that the inflation might be controlled by the fluctuations of interest rates.
When looking at the other side inflation also decides the change in interest rates. Countries’ monetary policies are made up to encourage both local investments and the foreign investments. When there is a high inflation rate, that country’s investors will have a problem with the actual value of money. The actual return that they gain after some years will be really low after some years. In order to save investors’ real wealth and to encourage them, economy should increase the interest rates with the level of inflation. The long term bond holders face severe problems with inflation and the rates of interest.
Let’s assume that a country is facing a hyper inflation just like what happens in the Zimbabwe economy at present. After experiencing a very high rate of inflation, lenders will want to have high interest rates as they have a necessity to get back their actual wealth. If a country does not increase interest rates with the level of inflation, the lenders will be the losers and the borrowers will be gainers from it.
Anyhow an interest rate policy of a country is supposed to encourage the saving habits of that country’s citizens. So the deposit and lending rates differ with the level of inflation. If the country does not increase the interest rates with the increased level of inflation, people will realize that the actual value for their savings come down. It may discourage the saving habits. So there will be a decline in the saving rates.
Eventhough inflation and interest rates have a positive linear relationship; there might be some exceptional situations. There are situations where there were no relationships between interest rates and inflation and even negative relationships. This happens rarely when natural disasters take place.
Does the inflation decide the changes in interest rates?
Observably countries do adjust interest rates when there are fluctuations in key economic factors or indicators. It is always believed that monetary policy of a country, inflation, the Supply and demand of money funds are the significant causes that decide the changes in interest rates.
Out of these above three indicators, inflation is the most common factor that makes severe impacts on interest rates of a country. Interest rates influence the level of inflation. Inflation and the interest rates have a positive relationship between them. There is a simple economic reasoning behind this.
Interest rates create direct opportunities and even obstacles in the credit markets. When there are high interest rates, we can observe a decline in the money borrowing rates. As a common thought a country’s government will always have an ultimate aim of achieving high employment, unwavering prices and a constant growth in the economy by adjusting the interest rates. Since low interest rates encourage citizens’ purchasing and consuming habits in a country, a drop down in interest rates will increase the consumer spending and also it may stimulate a growth in the economy.
Most of the economists who believe in practical concepts say that an excessive economic growth will be anyway harmful to a country. A rapid growing economy might lead to a hyper inflation ending with high unemployment and high prices. Automatically it will reduce the level of consumer spending and the growth rate of economy resulting with extremely sky-scraping interest rates. On the other hand having incredibly low inflation is also not healthy for a well performing economy. An interest rate policy must be reasonable. So we can obviously say that the inflation might be controlled by the fluctuations of interest rates.
When looking at the other side inflation also decides the change in interest rates. Countries’ monetary policies are made up to encourage both local investments and the foreign investments. When there is a high inflation rate, that country’s investors will have a problem with the actual value of money. The actual return that they gain after some years will be really low after some years. In order to save investors’ real wealth and to encourage them, economy should increase the interest rates with the level of inflation. The long term bond holders face severe problems with inflation and the rates of interest.
Let’s assume that a country is facing a hyper inflation just like what happens in the Zimbabwe economy at present. After experiencing a very high rate of inflation, lenders will want to have high interest rates as they have a necessity to get back their actual wealth. If a country does not increase interest rates with the level of inflation, the lenders will be the losers and the borrowers will be gainers from it.
Anyhow an interest rate policy of a country is supposed to encourage the saving habits of that country’s citizens. So the deposit and lending rates differ with the level of inflation. If the country does not increase the interest rates with the increased level of inflation, people will realize that the actual value for their savings come down. It may discourage the saving habits. So there will be a decline in the saving rates.
Eventhough inflation and interest rates have a positive linear relationship; there might be some exceptional situations. There are situations where there were no relationships between interest rates and inflation and even negative relationships. This happens rarely when natural disasters take place.
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